Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Bursaspor to win @ 1.70 – our chance 67% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBursaspor to win ✓67% · @1.70
Double chanceBursaspor or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.15
Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor preview and prediction
The match
Bursaspor travel to Mumin Ozkasap Spor Tesisleri in the 1. Lig on Monday 7 September (18:00 WAT) to face Manisa F.K.. Manisa F.K. are 17th with 13 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Bursaspor sit 1st on 32 points (top of the table). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Manisa F.K.'s last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Iğdır FK 2–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Bursaspor's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat İstanbulspor 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.9 for Manisa F.K. and 2.2 for Bursaspor. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Manisa F.K. 14%, draw 19%, Bursaspor 67%.
Safer route: Bursaspor or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Bursaspor to win at 1.70 – 67% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bursaspor or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Manisa F.K. 0–2 Bursaspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manisa F.K.14%fair 7.22 · @4.20
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @3.75
Bursaspor67%fair 1.49 · @1.70
3.10Expected goals
0.90Manisa F.K. xG
2.20Bursaspor xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Manisa F.K. 0.9 – 2.2 Bursaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bursaspor to win✓
67%
1.49
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Bursaspor or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Bursaspor ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bursaspor / FT Bursaspor✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.15
–
Form
Manisa F.K. – last 6
LDDWWW
3 Sep
@ Iğdır FK
2–4
L
30 Aug
vs Bodrum FK
0–0
D
24 Aug
@ Sivasspor
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Vanspor FK
4–1
W
7 Aug
@ Boluspor
2–1
W
1 May
vs Sakaryaspor
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Bursaspor – last 6
WWLWWD
3 Sep
vs İstanbulspor
4–0
W
29 Aug
@ Kayserispor
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ Fatih Karagümrük
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Iğdır FK
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Bodrum FK
2–0
W
26 Jul
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manisa F.K. and Bursaspor.
What is the prediction for Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor?
Our pick is Bursaspor or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor?
On our numbers Manisa F.K. have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bursaspor 67%.
How many goals will there be in Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor?
Our predicted score is Manisa F.K. 0–2 Bursaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor?
Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Mumin Ozkasap Spor Tesisleri.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
