Hartlepool vs Harrogate Town prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Harrogate Town to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHarrogate Town to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Hartlepool vs Harrogate Town preview and prediction
The match
Harrogate Town travel to Victoria Park in the National League on Tuesday 29 September (19:45 WAT) to face Hartlepool. Hartlepool are 21st with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Harrogate Town sit 2nd on 32 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hartlepool's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Scunthorpe 1–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Harrogate Town's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Eastleigh 4–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Harrogate Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.1 for Hartlepool and 2.1 for Harrogate Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hartlepool 19%, draw 17%, Harrogate Town 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Harrogate Town to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hartlepool 1–2 Harrogate Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hartlepool19%fair 5.15 · @3.40
Draw17%fair 5.79 · @3.50
Harrogate Town63%fair 1.58 · @1.91
3.20Expected goals
1.06Hartlepool xG
2.14Harrogate Town xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Hartlepool 1.1 – 2.1 Harrogate Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Harrogate Town to win✓
63%
1.58
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Harrogate Town ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Harrogate Town / FT Harrogate Town✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
Hartlepool – last 6
LLLLLW
26 Sep
@ Scunthorpe
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Worthing
1–3
L
16 Sep
@ Altrincham
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Kidderminster Harriers
0–2
L
8 Sep
vs Everton U21
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Woking
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Harrogate Town – last 6
WLLWWW
26 Sep
vs Eastleigh
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Boreham Wood
1–4
L
15 Sep
vs AFC Fylde
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Tamworth
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Scunthorpe
2–0
W
31 Aug
vs Gateshead
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartlepool and Harrogate Town.
What is the prediction for Hartlepool vs Harrogate Town?
Our pick is Harrogate Town to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Hartlepool vs Harrogate Town?
On our numbers Hartlepool have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Harrogate Town 63%.
How many goals will there be in Hartlepool vs Harrogate Town?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartlepool vs Harrogate Town?
Our predicted score is Hartlepool 1–2 Harrogate Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Hartlepool vs Harrogate Town?
Hartlepool vs Harrogate Town (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Victoria Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
