National League · England · Mill FarmAFC Fylde vs Carlisle prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
Value bet: AFC Fylde to win @ 2.40 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: AFC Fylde 1.9 – 1.6 Carlisle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
AFC Fylde hold the edge on home soil with a 47% chance of winning, against 34% for Carlisle.
AFC Fylde have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Carlisle have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded. AFC Fylde come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.6 goals (1.9 for AFC Fylde, 1.6 for Carlisle). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (7%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.50. For a bigger price, AFC Fylde to win at 2.40 is our value angle (47% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | AFC Fylde to win ✗ | 47% | 2.15 | 2.40 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Half-time result | AFC Fylde ahead at half-time ✗ | 36% | 2.77 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT AFC Fylde / FT AFC Fylde ✗ | 28% | 3.58 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.53 | – |
Form
AFC Fylde – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Boston United | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Altrincham | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | @ Harrogate Town | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Yeovil Town | 4–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Worthing | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Aug | @ Solihull Moors | 3–1 | W |
Carlisle – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Woking | 2–5 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Eastleigh | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Sep | vs Forest Green | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Southend | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Boreham Wood | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Scunthorpe | 4–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Fylde and Carlisle.
National League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 16 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 16 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Southend | 16 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 16 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 |  Yeovil Town | 16 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Worthing | 16 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 |  Altrincham | 16 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 |  Carlisle | 16 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 15 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 16 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 16 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |  Woking | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 |  AFC Hornchurch | 16 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 16 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 16 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 |  Hartlepool | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 16 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 15 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 15 | -25 | 4 |
More National League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for AFC Fylde vs Carlisle?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win AFC Fylde vs Carlisle?
On our numbers AFC Fylde have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Carlisle 34%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Fylde vs Carlisle?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
When is AFC Fylde vs Carlisle?
AFC Fylde vs Carlisle (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mill Farm.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.