National League · England · Hornchurch StadiumAFC Hornchurch vs Aldershot Town prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Value bet: Aldershot Town to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: AFC Hornchurch 1.2 – 1.2 Aldershot Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates AFC Hornchurch and Aldershot Town on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 22% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
AFC Hornchurch have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Aldershot Town have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. Aldershot Town come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.2 for AFC Hornchurch, 1.2 for Aldershot Town). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (11%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.70. For a bigger price, Aldershot Town to win at 3.00 is our value angle (39% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Aldershot Town to win ✗ | 39% | 2.56 | 3.00 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Aldershot Town / FT Aldershot Town ✗ | 21% | 4.78 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.41 | – |
Form
AFC Hornchurch – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Altrincham | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Scunthorpe | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | @ Worthing | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ FC Halifax Town | 0–3 | L |
| 8 Sep | vs Ipswich Town U21 | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Forest Green | 0–1 | L |
Aldershot Town – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Tamworth | 5–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Barrow | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Sep | vs Yeovil Town | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Solihull Moors | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Sep | vs West Ham United U21 | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs FC Halifax Town | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Hornchurch and Aldershot Town.
National League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 16 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 16 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Southend | 16 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 16 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 |  Yeovil Town | 16 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Worthing | 16 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 |  Altrincham | 16 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 |  Carlisle | 16 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 15 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 16 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 16 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |  Woking | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 |  AFC Hornchurch | 16 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 16 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 16 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 |  Hartlepool | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 16 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 15 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 15 | -25 | 4 |
More National League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for AFC Hornchurch vs Aldershot Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win AFC Hornchurch vs Aldershot Town?
On our numbers AFC Hornchurch have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aldershot Town 39%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Hornchurch vs Aldershot Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is AFC Hornchurch vs Aldershot Town?
AFC Hornchurch vs Aldershot Town (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Hornchurch Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.