Woking travel to Brunton Park in the National League on Saturday 26 September (15:00 WAT) to face Carlisle. Carlisle are 8th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Woking sit 12th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Carlisle's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Eastleigh 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Woking's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Kidderminster Harriers 0–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Woking arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Carlisle and 0.8 for Woking. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Carlisle 68%, draw 20%, Woking 12%.
Safer route: Carlisle or draw (88%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Carlisle to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Carlisle 2–0 Woking. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Carlisle68%fair 1.47 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @4.00
Woking12%fair 8.27 · @4.50
3.00Expected goals
2.18Carlisle xG
0.82Woking xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Carlisle 2.2 – 0.8 Woking expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carlisle to win✗
68%
1.47
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Carlisle or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.53
Half-time result
Carlisle ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carlisle / FT Carlisle✗
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.41
–
Form
Carlisle – last 6
LDDLWD
19 Sep
@ Eastleigh
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Forest Green
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Southend
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Boreham Wood
1–2
L
31 Aug
vs Scunthorpe
4–2
W
28 Aug
@ Wealdstone
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Woking – last 6
DDWWLD
19 Sep
vs Kidderminster Harriers
0–0
D
15 Sep
@ Boston United
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Altrincham
5–1
W
8 Sep
vs Southampton U21
4–1
W
5 Sep
@ Hartlepool
0–1
L
31 Aug
vs Southend
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carlisle and Woking.
Our pick is Carlisle to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Carlisle vs Woking?
On our numbers Carlisle have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Woking 12%.
How many goals will there be in Carlisle vs Woking?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carlisle vs Woking?
Our predicted score is Carlisle 2–0 Woking, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Carlisle vs Woking?
Carlisle vs Woking (National League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Brunton Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.