National League · England · Attis ArenaScunthorpe vs Hartlepool prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Scunthorpe 1.5 – 1.2 Hartlepool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Scunthorpe hold the edge on home soil with a 46% chance of winning, against 34% for Hartlepool.
Scunthorpe have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.7 per game. Hartlepool have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.5 for Scunthorpe, 1.2 for Hartlepool). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Scunthorpe have won 0, Hartlepool have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.31.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Scunthorpe to win ✓ | 46% | 2.17 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.46 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Scunthorpe / FT Scunthorpe ✓ | 26% | 3.90 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.79 | – |
Form
Scunthorpe – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ AFC Hornchurch | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | vs Boreham Wood | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Sutton Utd | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Sep | vs Nottingham Forest U21 | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Harrogate Town | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | @ Carlisle | 2–4 | L |
Hartlepool – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Worthing | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Altrincham | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Sep | @ Kidderminster Harriers | 0–2 | L |
| 8 Sep | vs Everton U21 | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Woking | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Sep | @ FC Halifax Town | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 3 Apr 2026 | Scunthorpe v Hartlepool | 0–0 |
National League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 16 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 16 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Southend | 16 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 16 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 |  Yeovil Town | 16 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Worthing | 16 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 |  Altrincham | 16 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 |  Carlisle | 16 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 15 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 16 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 16 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |  Woking | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 |  AFC Hornchurch | 16 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 16 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 16 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 |  Hartlepool | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 16 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 15 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 15 | -25 | 4 |
More National League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool?
On our numbers Scunthorpe have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hartlepool 34%.
How many goals will there be in Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool?
Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool (National League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Attis Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.