National League · England · Moss LaneAltrincham vs AFC Hornchurch prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Altrincham 1.6 – 1.2 AFC Hornchurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Altrincham hold the edge on home soil with a 48% chance of winning, against 32% for AFC Hornchurch.
Altrincham have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.7 per game. AFC Hornchurch have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. Altrincham come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.6 for Altrincham, 1.2 for AFC Hornchurch). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.30.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Altrincham to win ✓ | 48% | 2.09 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 80% | 1.26 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.71 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.48 | 1.40 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Altrincham / FT Altrincham ✓ | 27% | 3.67 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 9% | 10.60 | – |
Form
Altrincham – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ AFC Fylde | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Hartlepool | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Woking | 1–5 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Eastleigh | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Forest Green | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Aug | vs FC Halifax Town | 2–1 | W |
AFC Hornchurch – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Scunthorpe | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | @ Worthing | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ FC Halifax Town | 0–3 | L |
| 8 Sep | vs Ipswich Town U21 | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Forest Green | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | @ Boston United | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Altrincham and AFC Hornchurch.
National League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 16 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 16 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Southend | 16 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 16 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 |  Yeovil Town | 16 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Worthing | 16 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 |  Altrincham | 16 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 |  Carlisle | 16 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 15 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 16 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 16 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |  Woking | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 |  AFC Hornchurch | 16 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 16 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 16 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 |  Hartlepool | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 16 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 15 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 15 | -25 | 4 |
More National League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Altrincham vs AFC Hornchurch?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Altrincham vs AFC Hornchurch?
On our numbers Altrincham have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AFC Hornchurch 32%.
How many goals will there be in Altrincham vs AFC Hornchurch?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Altrincham vs AFC Hornchurch?
Altrincham vs AFC Hornchurch (National League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Moss Lane.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.