Scunthorpe vs Harrogate Town preview and prediction
The match
Harrogate Town travel to Attis Arena in the National League on Saturday 5 September (15:00 WAT) to face Scunthorpe. Scunthorpe are 23rd with 10 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Harrogate Town sit 2nd on 32 points (in the top four). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Scunthorpe's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Carlisle 2–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Harrogate Town's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Gateshead 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Harrogate Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.0 for Scunthorpe and 2.0 for Harrogate Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Scunthorpe 39%, draw 23%, Harrogate Town 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Scunthorpe 2–1 Harrogate Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Scunthorpe39%fair 2.56 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.40
Harrogate Town38%fair 2.62 · @2.75
4.00Expected goals
2.01Scunthorpe xG
1.99Harrogate Town xG
70%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–17%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Scunthorpe 2.0 – 2.0 Harrogate Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Scunthorpe to win✗
39%
2.56
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.44
1.55 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Scunthorpe ahead at half-time✗
34%
2.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Scunthorpe / FT Scunthorpe✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.57
–
Form
Scunthorpe – last 6
LWLWLD
31 Aug
@ Carlisle
2–4
L
28 Aug
vs Solihull Moors
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Eastleigh
2–3
L
18 Aug
vs Stoke City U21
4–0
W
15 Aug
@ Southend
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Yeovil Town
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Harrogate Town – last 6
WLDWWW
31 Aug
vs Gateshead
2–1
W
28 Aug
@ Aldershot Town
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Barrow
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ Wealdstone
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Solihull Moors
5–2
W
1 Aug
vs Scarborough Athletic
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Scunthorpe and Harrogate Town.
What is the prediction for Scunthorpe vs Harrogate Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Scunthorpe vs Harrogate Town?
On our numbers Scunthorpe have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Harrogate Town 38%.
How many goals will there be in Scunthorpe vs Harrogate Town?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Scunthorpe vs Harrogate Town?
Our predicted score is Scunthorpe 2–1 Harrogate Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Scunthorpe vs Harrogate Town?
Scunthorpe vs Harrogate Town (National League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Attis Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
