Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Sutton Utd to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarrow to win ✓39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.09
Barrow vs Sutton Utd preview and prediction
The match
The National League sees Barrow take on Sutton Utd on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Holker Street. Barrow are 9th with 25 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Sutton Utd sit 11th on 24 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Barrow's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Kidderminster Harriers 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Sutton Utd's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Wealdstone 0–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sutton Utd arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Barrow and 1.2 for Sutton Utd. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Sutton Utd to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Barrow 1–1 Sutton Utd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barrow39%fair 2.59 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Sutton Utd37%fair 2.67 · @3.10
2.40Expected goals
1.21Barrow xG
1.19Sutton Utd xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Barrow 1.2 – 1.2 Sutton Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barrow to win✓
39%
2.59
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barrow / FT Barrow✓
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.09
–
Form
Barrow – last 6
DLDLLW
31 Aug
@ Kidderminster Harriers
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Yeovil Town
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Harrogate Town
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs AFC Hornchurch
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Hartlepool
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Morecambe
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sutton Utd – last 6
LWWDWW
31 Aug
vs Wealdstone
0–2
L
28 Aug
@ Gateshead
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Hartlepool
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Leicester City U21
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Altrincham
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Woking
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barrow and Sutton Utd.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Barrow vs Sutton Utd?
On our numbers Barrow have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sutton Utd 37%.
How many goals will there be in Barrow vs Sutton Utd?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barrow vs Sutton Utd?
Our predicted score is Barrow 1–1 Sutton Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Barrow vs Sutton Utd?
Barrow vs Sutton Utd (National League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Holker Street.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
