Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: AFC Fylde to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAFC Fylde to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chanceAFC Fylde or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78
AFC Fylde vs Worthing preview and prediction
The match
The National League sees AFC Fylde take on Worthing on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Mill Farm. AFC Fylde are 4th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Worthing sit 6th on 28 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
AFC Fylde's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Solihull Moors 3–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Worthing's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Boreham Wood 2–3 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
AFC Fylde arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.5 for AFC Fylde and 1.2 for Worthing. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Fylde 62%, draw 25%, Worthing 13%.
Safer route: AFC Fylde or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Value angle: AFC Fylde to win at 1.75 – 62% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AFC Fylde or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AFC Fylde 2–1 Worthing. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Fylde62%fair 1.61 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.80
Worthing13%fair 7.44 · @3.80
3.70Expected goals
2.49AFC Fylde xG
1.21Worthing xG
63%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
1–17%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: AFC Fylde 2.5 – 1.2 Worthing expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Fylde to win✗
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Double chance
AFC Fylde or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
AFC Fylde ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Fylde / FT AFC Fylde✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Form
AFC Fylde – last 6
WWLWDL
31 Aug
@ Solihull Moors
3–1
W
28 Aug
vs Forest Green
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Woking
2–3
L
15 Aug
@ Tamworth
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Wealdstone
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Rylands
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Worthing – last 6
LLWLLW
31 Aug
vs Boreham Wood
2–3
L
28 Aug
@ Tamworth
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Wealdstone
1–0
W
18 Aug
vs West Ham United U21
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Forest Green
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Carlisle
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Fylde and Worthing.
Our pick is AFC Fylde or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AFC Fylde vs Worthing?
On our numbers AFC Fylde have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Worthing 13%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Fylde vs Worthing?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Fylde vs Worthing?
Our predicted score is AFC Fylde 2–1 Worthing, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is AFC Fylde vs Worthing?
AFC Fylde vs Worthing (National League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Mill Farm.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
