Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
O3.5
Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 1.77 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRot-Weiß Essen to win ✓65% · @1.33
Double chanceRot-Weiß Essen or draw ✓87% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.48
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗80% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 14.19
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Havelse preview and prediction
The match
Havelse travel to Stadion Essen in the 3. Liga on Saturday 15 August (13:00 WAT) to face Rot-Weiß Essen. Rot-Weiß Essen are 3rd with 27 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Havelse sit 20th on 10 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rot-Weiß Essen's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to FC Saarbrücken 2–5 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Havelse's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Stuttgart II 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.9 goals: 3.2 for Rot-Weiß Essen and 1.6 for Havelse. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Over 3.5 goals at 1.77 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.26, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rot-Weiß Essen 3–1 Havelse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rot-Weiß Essen65%fair 1.53 · @1.33
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @5.50
Havelse13%fair 7.77 · @7.40
4.89Expected goals
3.24Rot-Weiß Essen xG
1.65Havelse xG
69%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–17%
2–17%
3–26%
4–16%
2–25%
4–25%
From our goals model: Rot-Weiß Essen 3.2 – 1.6 Havelse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rot-Weiß Essen to win✓
65%
1.53
1.33
Double chance
Rot-Weiß Essen or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.44
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.09
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.77 ▲
Half-time result
Rot-Weiß Essen ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rot-Weiß Essen / FT Rot-Weiß Essen✗
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
7%
14.19
–
Form
Rot-Weiß Essen – last 6
LLLLWW
9 Aug
@ FC Saarbrücken
2–5
L
1 Aug
@ Bayer Leverkusen
0–3
L
25 Jul
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–2
L
17 Jul
@ Ried
0–3
L
11 Jul
vs SW Essen
5–1
W
4 Jul
@ Bottrop
11–0
W
3.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Havelse – last 6
LLDLWW
8 Aug
vs Stuttgart II
2–3
L
25 Jul
@ Hannover 96 II
1–3
L
19 Jul
@ Eintracht Norderstedt
1–1
D
14 Jul
@ Eintracht Braunschweig
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Atlas Delmenhorst
3–2
W
10 May
vs FC Schweinfurt 05
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rot-Weiß Essen and Havelse.
What is the prediction for Rot-Weiß Essen vs Havelse?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs Havelse?
On our numbers Rot-Weiß Essen have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Havelse 13%.
How many goals will there be in Rot-Weiß Essen vs Havelse?
We expect about 4.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rot-Weiß Essen vs Havelse?
Our predicted score is Rot-Weiß Essen 3–1 Havelse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.9 goals in total.
When is Rot-Weiß Essen vs Havelse?
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Havelse (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Essen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
