Value bet: SV Meppen to win @ 2.60 – our chance 46% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSV Meppen to win ✓46% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.60
SV Meppen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach preview and prediction
The match
SV Meppen host SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach in the 3. Liga on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Hansch-Arena. SV Meppen are 11th with 18 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach sit 18th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
SV Meppen's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to MSV Duisburg 0–3 away. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Fortuna Köln 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for SV Meppen and 1.1 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: SV Meppen to win at 2.60 – 46% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: SV Meppen 1–1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SV Meppen46%fair 2.18 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach32%fair 3.10 · @2.60
2.39Expected goals
1.34SV Meppen xG
1.05SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: SV Meppen 1.3 – 1.1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SV Meppen to win✓
46%
2.18
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SV Meppen / FT SV Meppen✓
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.60
–
Form
SV Meppen – last 6
LWWWWW
8 Aug
@ MSV Duisburg
0–3
L
25 Jul
vs Schalke 04 II
8–0
W
18 Jul
vs Sparta Rotterdam
3–2
W
10 Jul
@ SSV Jeddeloh
4–1
W
8 May
@ SV DrochtersenAssel
2–1
W
2 Apr
@ Schöningen
1–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach – last 6
WLDWWW
8 Aug
vs Fortuna Köln
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs SV Darmstadt 98
2–7
L
21 Jul
@ VfR Aalen
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Hoffenheim II
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Bissingen
7–0
W
8 Jul
vs CFR Pforzheim
2–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SV Meppen and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach.
What is the prediction for SV Meppen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win SV Meppen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
On our numbers SV Meppen have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 32%.
How many goals will there be in SV Meppen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SV Meppen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
Our predicted score is SV Meppen 1–1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is SV Meppen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
SV Meppen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Hansch-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.