Value bet: Novosibirsk to win @ 1.84 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovosibirsk to win ✗61% · @1.84
Double chanceNovosibirsk or draw ✗84% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.18
Novosibirsk vs Dinamo Kirov preview and prediction
The match
Dinamo Kirov travel to Stadion Spartak in the Second League A Fall Season Gold on Sunday 30 August (11:00 WAT) to face Novosibirsk. Novosibirsk are 5th with 22 points from 17 games (in the top half), while Dinamo Kirov sit 1st on 34 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Novosibirsk's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with FK Sokol Saratov 2–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Dinamo Kirov's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Amkar 4–4 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Novosibirsk and 0.7 for Dinamo Kirov. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Novosibirsk to win at 1.84 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Novosibirsk 1–0 Dinamo Kirov. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Novosibirsk61%fair 1.63 · @1.84
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.36
Dinamo Kirov16%fair 6.21 · @3.68
2.31Expected goals
1.63Novosibirsk xG
0.68Dinamo Kirov xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Novosibirsk 1.6 – 0.7 Dinamo Kirov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novosibirsk to win✗
61%
1.63
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Novosibirsk or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.26
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novosibirsk / FT Novosibirsk✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.18
–
Form
Novosibirsk – last 6
DDDLLW
22 Aug
@ FK Sokol Saratov
2–2
D
16 Aug
vs Volgar Astrakhan
2–2
D
12 Aug
@ KDV
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Dinamo Bryansk
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Rodina Moskva II
1–3
L
26 Jul
@ Kaluga
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dinamo Kirov – last 6
DLLWDW
25 Aug
vs Amkar
4–4
D
22 Aug
vs Dinamo Vladivostok
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0–2
L
12 Aug
@ Broke Boys
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Mashuk-KMV
0–0
D
2 Aug
vs Kaluga
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novosibirsk and Dinamo Kirov.
What is the prediction for Novosibirsk vs Dinamo Kirov?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Novosibirsk vs Dinamo Kirov?
On our numbers Novosibirsk have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dinamo Kirov 16%.
How many goals will there be in Novosibirsk vs Dinamo Kirov?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novosibirsk vs Dinamo Kirov?
Our predicted score is Novosibirsk 1–0 Dinamo Kirov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Novosibirsk vs Dinamo Kirov?
Novosibirsk vs Dinamo Kirov (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
