Kaluga vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Alaniya Vladikavkaz to win @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlaniya Vladikavkaz to win ✗54% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.05
Kaluga vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz preview and prediction
The match
Kaluga host Alaniya Vladikavkaz in the Second League A Fall Season Gold on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Orbita stadium. Kaluga are 10th with 11 points from 17 games (in the bottom three), while Alaniya Vladikavkaz sit 4th on 23 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kaluga's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Avangard Kursk 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Alaniya Vladikavkaz's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with Mashuk-KMV 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.8 for Kaluga and 1.3 for Alaniya Vladikavkaz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.
Value angle: Alaniya Vladikavkaz to win at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Kaluga 0–1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kaluga25%fair 3.95 · @3.28
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.25
Alaniya Vladikavkaz54%fair 1.86 · @2.00
2.08Expected goals
0.76Kaluga xG
1.32Alaniya Vladikavkaz xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–013%
1–113%
0–211%
1–010%
1–28%
From our goals model: Kaluga 0.8 – 1.3 Alaniya Vladikavkaz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alaniya Vladikavkaz to win✗
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.87
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.34
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alaniya Vladikavkaz / FT Alaniya Vladikavkaz✗
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
6.05
–
Form
Kaluga – last 6
WLDWDL
25 Aug
@ Avangard Kursk
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Dinamo Bryansk
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Mashuk-KMV
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs Iskra Smolensk
5–0
W
8 Aug
vs Rodina Moskva II
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Dinamo Kirov
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Alaniya Vladikavkaz – last 6
DWDLDW
22 Aug
@ Mashuk-KMV
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Dinamo Kirov
2–0
W
13 Aug
@ Spartak Nalchik
3–3
D
8 Aug
@ FK Sokol Saratov
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Volgar Astrakhan
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Dinamo Bryansk
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaluga and Alaniya Vladikavkaz.
What is the prediction for Kaluga vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Kaluga vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?
On our numbers Kaluga have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alaniya Vladikavkaz 54%.
How many goals will there be in Kaluga vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaluga vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?
Our predicted score is Kaluga 0–1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Kaluga vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?
Kaluga vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Orbita stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
