Valletta FC travel to Tony Bezzina Stadium in the Premier League on Wednesday 21 October (19:30 WAT) to face Mosta. Mosta are 9th with 15 points from 12 games, while Valletta FC sit 1st on 25 points.
Form guide
Mosta's last 5: DDDLD Most recently they drew with Floriana 3–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Valletta FC's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Sliema Wanderers 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Valletta FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Mosta and 2.0 for Valletta FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mosta 21%, draw 18%, Valletta FC 61%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mosta 1–2 Valletta FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mosta21%fair 4.76 · @5.00
Draw18%fair 5.42 · @3.70
Valletta FC61%fair 1.65 · @1.53
3.13Expected goals
1.09Mosta xG
2.04Valletta FC xG
57%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Mosta 1.1 – 2.0 Valletta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valletta FC to win✓
61%
1.65
1.53
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Valletta FC ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valletta FC / FT Valletta FC✓
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.09
–
Form
Mosta – last 6
DDDLDW
18 Oct
@ Floriana
3–3
D
14 Oct
@ Gzira United
1–1
D
9 Oct
vs Birzebbuga
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Sliema Wanderers
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Marsaxlokk
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Birkirkara
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Valletta FC – last 6
WWWDWW
17 Oct
vs Sliema Wanderers
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Birkirkara
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Birzebbuga
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Balzan FC
2–2
D
7 Sep
@ Floriana
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ Hibernians
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mosta and Valletta FC.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Mosta vs Valletta FC?
On our numbers Mosta have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Valletta FC 61%.
How many goals will there be in Mosta vs Valletta FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mosta vs Valletta FC?
Our predicted score is Mosta 1–2 Valletta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Mosta vs Valletta FC?
Mosta vs Valletta FC (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
