Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Hamrun Spartans to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHamrun Spartans to win ✗58% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.40
Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC preview and prediction
The match
Hamrun Spartans host Balzan FC in the Premier League on Wednesday 21 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Centenary Stadium. Hamrun Spartans are 5th with 18 points from 12 games, while Balzan FC sit 10th on 14 points.
Form guide
Hamrun Spartans's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Gzira United 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Balzan FC's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Zabbar St. Patrick 1–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Hamrun Spartans arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Hamrun Spartans and 0.9 for Balzan FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hamrun Spartans 58%, draw 20%, Balzan FC 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hamrun Spartans to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hamrun Spartans 1–0 Balzan FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hamrun Spartans58%fair 1.71 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.20
Balzan FC22%fair 4.61 · @4.20
2.69Expected goals
1.75Hamrun Spartans xG
0.94Balzan FC xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Hamrun Spartans 1.8 – 0.9 Balzan FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hamrun Spartans to win✗
58%
1.71
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hamrun Spartans / FT Hamrun Spartans✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.40
–
Form
Hamrun Spartans – last 6
DDWWWD
18 Oct
@ Gzira United
2–2
D
11 Oct
vs Hibernians
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Marsaxlokk
4–1
W
11 Sep
@ Birzebbuga
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Zabbar St. Patrick
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Floriana
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Balzan FC – last 6
LDDDWW
17 Oct
vs Zabbar St. Patrick
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Floriana
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Sliema Wanderers
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Valletta FC
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Birzebbuga
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Gzira United
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hamrun Spartans and Balzan FC.
What is the prediction for Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC?
Our pick is Hamrun Spartans to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC?
On our numbers Hamrun Spartans have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Balzan FC 22%.
How many goals will there be in Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC?
Our predicted score is Hamrun Spartans 1–0 Balzan FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC?
Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Centenary Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
