Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMarsaxlokk to win ✗62% · @1.44
Double chanceMarsaxlokk or draw ✗81% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.74
Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Birzebbuga take on Marsaxlokk on Wednesday 21 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Tony Bezzina Stadium. Birzebbuga are 11th with 7 points from 12 games, while Marsaxlokk sit 2nd on 21 points. A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Birzebbuga's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Hibernians 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Marsaxlokk's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Birkirkara 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Marsaxlokk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Birzebbuga and 1.9 for Marsaxlokk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 47%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Marsaxlokk to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Birzebbuga 0–1 Marsaxlokk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Birzebbuga19%fair 5.37 · @6.00
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.75
Marsaxlokk62%fair 1.62 · @1.44
2.81Expected goals
0.91Birzebbuga xG
1.90Marsaxlokk xG
47%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Birzebbuga 0.9 – 1.9 Marsaxlokk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marsaxlokk to win✗
62%
1.62
1.44
Double chance
Marsaxlokk or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Marsaxlokk ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marsaxlokk / FT Marsaxlokk✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.74
–
Form
Birzebbuga – last 6
LDLLLL
18 Oct
@ Hibernians
0–1
L
9 Oct
@ Mosta
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Valletta FC
0–3
L
11 Sep
vs Hamrun Spartans
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Balzan FC
0–3
L
30 Aug
vs Sliema Wanderers
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Marsaxlokk – last 6
WWLWDW
16 Oct
vs Birkirkara
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs Zabbar St. Patrick
2–1
W
18 Sep
@ Hamrun Spartans
1–4
L
12 Sep
@ Floriana
5–2
W
5 Sep
vs Mosta
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Valletta FC
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birzebbuga and Marsaxlokk.
What is the prediction for Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk?
Our pick is Marsaxlokk to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk?
On our numbers Birzebbuga have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Marsaxlokk 62%.
How many goals will there be in Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk?
Our predicted score is Birzebbuga 0–1 Marsaxlokk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk?
Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
