Value bet: CDS Tampico Madero to win @ 1.90 – our chance 64% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCDS Tampico Madero to win ✗64% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.20
CDS Tampico Madero vs Piratas preview and prediction
The match
CDS Tampico Madero host Piratas in the Liga De Expansión MX on Sunday 26 July, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Tamaulipas. CDS Tampico Madero are 14th with 15 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Piratas sit 4th on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
CDS Tampico Madero's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Club America 0–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for CDS Tampico Madero and 0.9 for Piratas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: CDS Tampico Madero to win at 1.90 – 64% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: CDS Tampico Madero 2–0 Piratas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CDS Tampico Madero64%fair 1.56 · @1.90
Draw16%fair 6.09 · @3.70
Piratas20%fair 5.09 · @3.65
2.89Expected goals
1.96CDS Tampico Madero xG
0.93Piratas xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: CDS Tampico Madero 2.0 – 0.9 Piratas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CDS Tampico Madero to win✗
64%
1.56
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Half-time result
CDS Tampico Madero ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CDS Tampico Madero / FT CDS Tampico Madero✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.20
–
Form
CDS Tampico Madero – last 6
LLLDWW
5 Jul
vs Club America
0–2
L
24 May
@ Tepatitlán
1–3
L
17 May
@ Tepatitlán
0–1
L
4 May
@ Cancún
1–1
D
1 May
vs Cancún
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ CA La Paz
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Piratas
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CDS Tampico Madero and Piratas.
What is the prediction for CDS Tampico Madero vs Piratas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win CDS Tampico Madero vs Piratas?
On our numbers CDS Tampico Madero have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Piratas 20%.
How many goals will there be in CDS Tampico Madero vs Piratas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CDS Tampico Madero vs Piratas?
Our predicted score is CDS Tampico Madero 2–0 Piratas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is CDS Tampico Madero vs Piratas?
CDS Tampico Madero vs Piratas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tamaulipas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.