Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCancún to win ✗64% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.65
Cancún vs Venados FC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Expansión MX sees Cancún take on Venados FC on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT). Cancún are 5th with 25 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Venados FC sit 6th on 25 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cancún's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Mineros de Zacatecas 2–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Venados FC's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Leones Negros UDG 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.4 for Cancún and 1.3 for Venados FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cancún 64%, draw 16%, Venados FC 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cancún to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cancún 2–1 Venados FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cancún64%fair 1.57 · @1.91
Draw16%fair 6.36 · @3.60
Venados FC20%fair 4.89 · @3.25
3.63Expected goals
2.38Cancún xG
1.25Venados FC xG
67%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
2–07%
3–17%
1–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Cancún 2.4 – 1.3 Venados FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cancún to win✗
64%
1.57
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Cancún ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cancún / FT Cancún✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.65
–
Form
Cancún – last 6
DWLWDD
11 Oct
@ Mineros de Zacatecas
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Tapatío
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Tlaxcala
1–4
L
20 Sep
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Dorados
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Correcaminos Uat
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Venados FC – last 6
DWWLWL
11 Oct
vs Leones Negros UDG
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ CA La Paz
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Monarcas
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Piratas
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Tepatitlán
5–0
W
6 Sep
@ CDS Tampico Madero
3–4
L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cancún and Venados FC.
Our pick is Cancún to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Cancún vs Venados FC?
On our numbers Cancún have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Venados FC 20%.
How many goals will there be in Cancún vs Venados FC?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cancún vs Venados FC?
Our predicted score is Cancún 2–1 Venados FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Cancún vs Venados FC?
Cancún vs Venados FC (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
