Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCA La Paz to win ✓44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.44
Tapatío vs CA La Paz preview and prediction
The match
Tapatío host CA La Paz in the Liga De Expansión MX on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Akron. Tapatío are 11th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while CA La Paz sit 1st on 30 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tapatío's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Cancún 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
CA La Paz's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Venados FC 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
CA La Paz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.5 for Tapatío and 1.7 for CA La Paz. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 68%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tapatío 36%, draw 19%, CA La Paz 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Tapatío 1–1 CA La Paz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tapatío36%fair 2.75 · @2.40
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.60
CA La Paz44%fair 2.25 · @2.30
3.29Expected goals
1.55Tapatío xG
1.74CA La Paz xG
68%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Tapatío 1.5 – 1.7 CA La Paz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CA La Paz to win✓
44%
2.25
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CA La Paz / FT CA La Paz✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.44
–
Form
Tapatío – last 6
LWLLDW
4 Oct
@ Cancún
0–1
L
21 Sep
vs Tlaxcala
4–0
W
13 Sep
@ Dorados
1–3
L
7 Sep
vs Leones Negros UDG
1–3
L
28 Aug
@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1–1
D
24 Aug
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
CA La Paz – last 6
LWWDWW
3 Oct
vs Venados FC
1–2
L
25 Sep
@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Correcaminos Uat
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Leones Negros UDG
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
3–0
W
28 Aug
@ Cancún
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tapatío and CA La Paz.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Tapatío vs CA La Paz?
On our numbers Tapatío have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and CA La Paz 44%.
How many goals will there be in Tapatío vs CA La Paz?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tapatío vs CA La Paz?
Our predicted score is Tapatío 1–1 CA La Paz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Tapatío vs CA La Paz?
Tapatío vs CA La Paz (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
