The Liga De Expansión MX sees Venados FC take on Tepatitlán on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero. Venados FC are 6th with 25 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Tepatitlán sit 16th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Venados FC's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to CDS Tampico Madero 3–4 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Tepatitlán's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Dorados 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Venados FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Tepatitlán 2–0 Venados FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 3.0 for Venados FC and 1.3 for Tepatitlán. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 80% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Venados FC 69%, draw 20%, Tepatitlán 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Venados FC to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Venados FC 3–1 Tepatitlán. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Venados FC69%fair 1.44 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @4.00
Tepatitlán10%fair 9.55 · @5.50
4.29Expected goals
3.01Venados FC xG
1.28Tepatitlán xG
62%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
2–18%
3–06%
2–06%
4–16%
1–15%
From our goals model: Venados FC 3.0 – 1.3 Tepatitlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Venados FC vs Tepatitlán?
Our pick is Venados FC to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Venados FC vs Tepatitlán?
On our numbers Venados FC have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tepatitlán 10%.
How many goals will there be in Venados FC vs Tepatitlán?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Venados FC vs Tepatitlán?
Our predicted score is Venados FC 3–1 Tepatitlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Venados FC vs Tepatitlán?
Venados FC vs Tepatitlán (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
