Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas prediction & analysis

Very little separates Mineros de Zacatecas and Monarcas on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Mineros de Zacatecas have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.8 per game. Monarcas have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.

We expect around 4.0 goals (2.0 for Mineros de Zacatecas, 2.0 for Monarcas). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (8%), 1–1 (7%), 2–2 (7%).

In their last 2 meetings, Mineros de Zacatecas have won 1, Monarcas have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is better than our fair price of 1.42, so there is value in it.