Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCarmarthen Town to win ✗63% · @1.50
Double chanceCarmarthen Town or draw ✗84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.32
Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major preview and prediction
The match
The FAW Championship sees Carmarthen Town take on Llantwit Major on Friday 2 October, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Richmond Park. Carmarthen Town are 10th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Llantwit Major sit 15th on 12 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Carmarthen Town's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Baglan Dragons 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Llantwit Major's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat llanelli AFC 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Carmarthen Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.6 for Carmarthen Town and 1.3 for Llantwit Major. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 75% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Carmarthen Town 63%, draw 20%, Llantwit Major 16%.
Safer route: Carmarthen Town or draw (84%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Carmarthen Town 2–1 Llantwit Major. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Carmarthen Town63%fair 1.57 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.20
Llantwit Major16%fair 6.23 · @4.60
3.93Expected goals
2.61Carmarthen Town xG
1.32Llantwit Major xG
64%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–07%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: Carmarthen Town 2.6 – 1.3 Llantwit Major expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carmarthen Town to win✗
63%
1.57
1.50
Double chance
Carmarthen Town or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Carmarthen Town ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carmarthen Town / FT Carmarthen Town✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.32
–
Form
Carmarthen Town – last 6
WDLDLW
25 Sep
@ Baglan Dragons
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Ynyshir Albions
2–2
D
31 Aug
vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2–3
L
28 Aug
@ llanelli AFC
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Treowen Stars
2–4
L
14 Aug
vs Afan Lido
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Llantwit Major – last 6
WDLLLL
26 Sep
vs llanelli AFC
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Treowen Stars
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Aberystwyth Town
1–5
L
15 Aug
vs Baglan Dragons
0–1
L
7 Aug
@ Afan Lido
0–5
L
1 Aug
vs Swansea University
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carmarthen Town and Llantwit Major.
What is the prediction for Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major?
On our numbers Carmarthen Town have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Llantwit Major 16%.
How many goals will there be in Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major?
Our predicted score is Carmarthen Town 2–1 Llantwit Major, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major?
Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
