Value bet: llanelli AFC to win @ 2.75 – our chance 49% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Resultllanelli AFC to win ✗49% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.53
llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds preview and prediction
The match
llanelli AFC host Trethomas Bluebirds in the FAW Championship on Friday 7 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stebonheath Park. llanelli AFC are 16th with 3 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Trethomas Bluebirds sit 8th on 17 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
llanelli AFC's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Newport City 1–4 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 5 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Trethomas Bluebirds's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Baglan Dragons 0–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Trethomas Bluebirds arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for llanelli AFC and 1.1 for Trethomas Bluebirds. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: llanelli AFC 49%, draw 19%, Trethomas Bluebirds 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.50.
Value angle: llanelli AFC to win at 2.75 – 49% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: llanelli AFC 1–1 Trethomas Bluebirds. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
llanelli AFC49%fair 2.05 · @2.75
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.60
Trethomas Bluebirds32%fair 3.13 · @2.05
2.50Expected goals
1.43llanelli AFC xG
1.07Trethomas Bluebirds xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: llanelli AFC 1.4 – 1.1 Trethomas Bluebirds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
llanelli AFC to win✗
49%
2.05
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT llanelli AFC / FT llanelli AFC✗
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.53
–
Form
llanelli AFC – last 6
LLLLDL
31 Jul
vs Newport City
1–4
L
3 Apr
vs Bala Town
0–5
L
20 Mar
vs Cardiff MET
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs Briton Ferry
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Bala Town
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Trethomas Bluebirds – last 6
DLWWLL
31 Jul
vs Baglan Dragons
0–0
D
14 Jul
@ Barry Town
1–5
L
20 Mar
vs Pontypridd Town
4–2
W
9 Mar
vs Newport City
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Carmarthen Town
4–5
L
1 Mar
@ Cambrian & Clydach
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between llanelli AFC and Trethomas Bluebirds.
What is the prediction for llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
On our numbers llanelli AFC have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Trethomas Bluebirds 32%.
How many goals will there be in llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
Our predicted score is llanelli AFC 1–1 Trethomas Bluebirds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stebonheath Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
