Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaerau (Ely) to win ✗65% · @1.25
Double chanceCaerau (Ely) or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions preview and prediction
The match
The FAW Championship sees Caerau (Ely) take on Ynyshir Albions on Friday 7 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT). Caerau (Ely) are 4th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Ynyshir Albions sit 6th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Caerau (Ely)'s last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Carmarthen Town 3–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Ynyshir Albions's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Cardiff Draconians 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.7 for Caerau (Ely) and 1.3 for Ynyshir Albions. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Caerau (Ely) 2–1 Ynyshir Albions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caerau (Ely)65%fair 1.53 · @1.25
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.80
Ynyshir Albions13%fair 7.41 · @8.00
4.00Expected goals
2.72Caerau (Ely) xG
1.28Ynyshir Albions xG
62%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–16%
3–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Caerau (Ely) 2.7 – 1.3 Ynyshir Albions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caerau (Ely) to win✗
65%
1.53
1.25
Double chance
Caerau (Ely) or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Caerau (Ely) ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caerau (Ely) / FT Caerau (Ely)✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.53
–
Form
Caerau (Ely) – last 6
LDLLWD
1 Aug
@ Carmarthen Town
3–4
L
25 Jul
vs Barnstaple Town
4–4
D
21 Jul
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Evesham United
0–2
L
3 Jul
vs Croesyceiliog AFC
5–1
W
30 Jun
vs Cardiff Corinthians
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ynyshir Albions – last 5
WLWLL
1 Aug
vs Cardiff Draconians
1–0
W
24 Mar
@ Cardiff Draconians
1–4
L
6 Mar
@ Cwmbran Celtic
3–1
W
24 Feb
vs Llantwit Major
2–3
L
20 Feb
@ Trefelin
0–2
L
1.4Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caerau (Ely) and Ynyshir Albions.
What is the prediction for Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions?
On our numbers Caerau (Ely) have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ynyshir Albions 13%.
How many goals will there be in Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions?
Our predicted score is Caerau (Ely) 2–1 Ynyshir Albions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions?
Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
