Value bet: Llantwit Major to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAfan Lido to win ✓39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.55
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–2 ✗6% · fair 18.15
Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major preview and prediction
The match
Llantwit Major travel to face Afan Lido in the FAW Championship on Friday 7 August (19:30 WAT). Afan Lido are 7th with 18 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Llantwit Major sit 15th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Afan Lido's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Aberystwyth Town 2–5 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Llantwit Major's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Swansea University 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished Afan Lido 4–1 Llantwit Major.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 2.5 for Afan Lido and 2.5 for Llantwit Major. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Afan Lido 39%, draw 23%, Llantwit Major 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Llantwit Major to win at 2.80 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Afan Lido 2–2 Llantwit Major. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Afan Lido39%fair 2.56 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.30
Llantwit Major38%fair 2.62 · @2.80
5.00Expected goals
2.51Afan Lido xG
2.49Llantwit Major xG
68%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
3–26%
2–35%
2–15%
1–25%
3–35%
From our goals model: Afan Lido 2.5 – 2.5 Llantwit Major expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?
On our numbers Afan Lido have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Llantwit Major 38%.
How many goals will there be in Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?
Our predicted score is Afan Lido 2–2 Llantwit Major, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?
Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
