Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewtown AFC to win ✗63% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Rhyl vs Newtown AFC preview and prediction
The match
The FAW Championship sees Rhyl take on Newtown AFC on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Belle Vue. Rhyl are 13th with 13 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Newtown AFC sit 2nd on 30 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rhyl's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Ruthin Town 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Newtown AFC's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Llanuwchllyn 7–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Newtown AFC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 March 2026, finished Newtown AFC 6–1 Rhyl.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.0 for Rhyl and 2.0 for Newtown AFC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rhyl 23%, draw 15%, Newtown AFC 63%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Newtown AFC to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rhyl 1–2 Newtown AFC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rhyl23%fair 4.37 · @3.25
Draw15%fair 6.88 · @3.80
Newtown AFC63%fair 1.60 · @1.83
3.03Expected goals
1.04Rhyl xG
1.98Newtown AFC xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–210%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Rhyl 1.0 – 2.0 Newtown AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Newtown AFC to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Rhyl vs Newtown AFC?
On our numbers Rhyl have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Newtown AFC 63%.
How many goals will there be in Rhyl vs Newtown AFC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rhyl vs Newtown AFC?
Our predicted score is Rhyl 1–2 Newtown AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Rhyl vs Newtown AFC?
Rhyl vs Newtown AFC (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Belle Vue.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Baglan Dragons
Aberystwyth Town