FAW Championship · WalesLlanuwchllyn vs Bala Town prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Llanuwchllyn 1.3 – 2.3 Bala Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bala Town travel as clear favourites – 60% to win, against 21% for Llanuwchllyn.
Llanuwchllyn have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.7 per game. Bala Town have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 2.2 scored and 3.2 conceded.
We expect around 3.6 goals (1.3 for Llanuwchllyn, 2.3 for Bala Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 1–3 (7%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.48.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bala Town to win ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Half-time result | Bala Town ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.20 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bala Town / FT Bala Town ✗ | 39% | 2.58 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.72 | – |
Form
Llanuwchllyn – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Newtown AFC | 0–7 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Penrhyncoch | 4–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Guilsfield | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Caersws | 2–5 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Mold Alexandra | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Holyhead Hotspur | 4–0 | W |
Bala Town – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Holyhead Hotspur | 3–4 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Buckley Town | 2–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Caersws | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Mold Alexandra | 2–4 | L |
| 15 Sep | @ Penrhyncoch | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | @ Denbigh Town | 2–5 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Llanuwchllyn and Bala Town.
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 14 | +19 | 34 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 14 | +7 | 27 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 13 | +15 | 25 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 14 | +3 | 24 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 13 | +10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 13 | +15 | 22 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 14 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Llanuwchllyn | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Rhyl | 14 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 12 | -26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 13 | -34 | 1 |
More FAW Championship predictions
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Aberystwyth TownFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Llanuwchllyn vs Bala Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Llanuwchllyn vs Bala Town?
On our numbers Llanuwchllyn have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Bala Town 60%.
How many goals will there be in Llanuwchllyn vs Bala Town?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Llanuwchllyn vs Bala Town?
Llanuwchllyn vs Bala Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.