Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultThes Sport to win ✗59% · @1.67
Double chanceThes Sport or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Harelbeke vs Thes Sport preview and prediction
The match
Harelbeke host Thes Sport in the First Amateur Division on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Forestierstadion.
Form guide
Harelbeke's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Dessel Sport 0–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Thes Sport's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Zelzate 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Thes Sport arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.2 for Harelbeke and 2.2 for Thes Sport. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Harelbeke 16%, draw 24%, Thes Sport 59%.
Safer route: Thes Sport or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Thes Sport or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Harelbeke 1–2 Thes Sport. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Harelbeke16%fair 6.06 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.60
Thes Sport59%fair 1.69 · @1.67
3.42Expected goals
1.17Harelbeke xG
2.25Thes Sport xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Harelbeke 1.2 – 2.2 Thes Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Thes Sport to win✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Double chance
Thes Sport or draw✗
84%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Thes Sport ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Thes Sport / FT Thes Sport✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.32
–
Form
Harelbeke – last 6
LDLLLL
3 Oct
@ Dessel Sport
0–4
L
30 Sep
vs Hoogstraten
3–3
D
20 Sep
@ Merelbeke
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Tienen
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Heist
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Mandel United
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Thes Sport – last 6
DWLDWD
3 Oct
vs Zelzate
1–1
D
30 Sep
@ Roeselare Daisel
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
2–3
L
12 Sep
@ Heist
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Knokke
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
3–3
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Harelbeke and Thes Sport.
What is the prediction for Harelbeke vs Thes Sport?
Our pick is Thes Sport or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Harelbeke vs Thes Sport?
On our numbers Harelbeke have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Thes Sport 59%.
How many goals will there be in Harelbeke vs Thes Sport?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Harelbeke vs Thes Sport?
Our predicted score is Harelbeke 1–2 Thes Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Harelbeke vs Thes Sport?
Harelbeke vs Thes Sport (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Forestierstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.