Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Tienen to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpouwen-Mopertingen to win ✗38% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.06
Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen preview and prediction
The match
Tienen travel to face Spouwen-Mopertingen in the First Amateur Division on Sunday 11 October (14:00 WAT).
Form guide
Spouwen-Mopertingen's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Mandel United 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Tienen's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Merelbeke 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Spouwen-Mopertingen 0–2 Tienen.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Spouwen-Mopertingen and 1.7 for Tienen. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 66%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spouwen-Mopertingen 38%, draw 24%, Tienen 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Tienen to win at 3.10 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Spouwen-Mopertingen 1–1 Tienen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spouwen-Mopertingen38%fair 2.61 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.10
Tienen38%fair 2.65 · @3.10
3.33Expected goals
1.67Spouwen-Mopertingen xG
1.66Tienen xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Spouwen-Mopertingen 1.7 – 1.7 Tienen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen?
On our numbers Spouwen-Mopertingen have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tienen 38%.
How many goals will there be in Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen?
Our predicted score is Spouwen-Mopertingen 1–1 Tienen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen?
Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Flénu2
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Habay-la-Neuve2
Albert Quévy-Mons2
Standard Liège II4
Onhaye1
Cercle Brugge II2
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar1
Harelbeke1
Thes Sport0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II0
Heist0
Merelbeke0
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