First Amateur Division · BelgiumFlénu vs Union Saint-Gilloise II prediction & analysis
Union Saint-Gilloise II to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Flénu 1.2 – 2.2 Union Saint-Gilloise II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Union Saint-Gilloise II travel as clear favourites – 63% to win, against 21% for Flénu.
Flénu have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 3.0 per game. Union Saint-Gilloise II have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. Union Saint-Gilloise II come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.4 goals (1.2 for Flénu, 2.2 for Union Saint-Gilloise II). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 0–2 (8%).
Our pick is Union Saint-Gilloise II to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Union Saint-Gilloise II to win ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.29 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Half-time result | Union Saint-Gilloise II ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Union Saint-Gilloise II / FT Union Saint-Gilloise II ✓ | 39% | 2.53 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.25 | – |
Form
Flénu – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Albert Quévy-Mons | 0–4 | L |
| 30 Sep | vs Olympic Charleroi | 3–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Habay-la-Neuve | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Meux | 1–4 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Sporting Charleroi II | 2–2 | D |
| 2 Sep | vs Onhaye | 1–2 | L |
Union Saint-Gilloise II – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs RWDM | 4–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Tubize | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Standard Liège II | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Olympic Charleroi | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Habay-la-Neuve | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Meux | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Flénu and Union Saint-Gilloise II.
First Amateur Division table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Meux | 12 | +9 | 25 |
| 2 |  Rochefort | 12 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 |  Union Saint-Gilloise II | 12 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 |  Tubize | 12 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 |  Albert Quévy-Mons | 12 | +8 | 20 |
| 6 |  RWDM | 12 | +2 | 20 |
| 7 |  Olympic Charleroi | 12 | -8 | 16 |
| 8 |  Standard Liège II | 12 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Sporting Charleroi II | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 |  Habay-la-Neuve | 11 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 |  Onhaye | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 12 |  Flénu | 12 | -22 | 2 |
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What is the prediction for Flénu vs Union Saint-Gilloise II?
Our pick is Union Saint-Gilloise II to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Flénu vs Union Saint-Gilloise II?
On our numbers Flénu have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Union Saint-Gilloise II 63%.
How many goals will there be in Flénu vs Union Saint-Gilloise II?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Flénu vs Union Saint-Gilloise II?
Flénu vs Union Saint-Gilloise II (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.