Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Tubize to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTubize to win ✓65% · @1.75
Double chanceTubize or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.09
Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve preview and prediction
The match
The First Amateur Division sees Tubize take on Habay-la-Neuve on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stade Leburton. Tubize are 4th with 21 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Habay-la-Neuve sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Tubize's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Union Saint-Gilloise II 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Habay-la-Neuve's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Sporting Charleroi II 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Tubize arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Habay-la-Neuve 2–0 Tubize.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Tubize and 0.7 for Habay-la-Neuve. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Tubize to win at 1.75 – 65% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tubize or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tubize 1–0 Habay-la-Neuve. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tubize65%fair 1.54 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.50
Habay-la-Neuve14%fair 7.01 · @3.60
2.58Expected goals
1.86Tubize xG
0.72Habay-la-Neuve xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Tubize 1.9 – 0.7 Habay-la-Neuve expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve?
Our pick is Tubize or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve?
On our numbers Tubize have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Habay-la-Neuve 14%.
How many goals will there be in Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve?
Our predicted score is Tubize 1–0 Habay-la-Neuve, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve?
Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Leburton.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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