Union Saint-Gilloise II vs RWDM preview and prediction
The match
RWDM travel to face Union Saint-Gilloise II in the First Amateur Division on Saturday 3 October (14:00 WAT). Union Saint-Gilloise II are 3rd with 21 points from 12 games (in the top four), while RWDM sit 6th on 20 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Union Saint-Gilloise II's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Tubize 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
RWDM's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Rochefort 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
RWDM arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.8 for Union Saint-Gilloise II and 1.1 for RWDM. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Saint-Gilloise II 31%, draw 21%, RWDM 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Union Saint-Gilloise II 1–1 RWDM. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Saint-Gilloise II31%fair 3.27 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.30
RWDM49%fair 2.05 · @2.10
1.92Expected goals
0.79Union Saint-Gilloise II xG
1.13RWDM xG
52%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–015%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Union Saint-Gilloise II 0.8 – 1.1 RWDM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RWDM to win✗
49%
2.05
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RWDM / FT RWDM✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
6.02
–
Form
Union Saint-Gilloise II – last 6
DWDWLL
26 Sep
@ Tubize
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Standard Liège II
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Olympic Charleroi
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Habay-la-Neuve
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Meux
1–2
L
26 Aug
vs Rochefort
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
RWDM – last 6
DWWWWW
30 Sep
vs Rochefort
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Meux
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Sporting Charleroi II
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Onhaye
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Flénu
3–0
W
26 Aug
@ Habay-la-Neuve
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Saint-Gilloise II and RWDM.
What is the prediction for Union Saint-Gilloise II vs RWDM?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise II vs RWDM?
On our numbers Union Saint-Gilloise II have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and RWDM 49%.
How many goals will there be in Union Saint-Gilloise II vs RWDM?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Saint-Gilloise II vs RWDM?
Our predicted score is Union Saint-Gilloise II 1–1 RWDM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Union Saint-Gilloise II vs RWDM?
Union Saint-Gilloise II vs RWDM (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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