First Amateur Division · Belgium · Armand Melis Stadium
Dessel Sport vs Harelbeke prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Dessel Sport to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Dessel Sport 2.4 – 1.5 Harelbeke expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Dessel Sport are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 26% for Harelbeke.
Dessel Sport have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 per game. Harelbeke have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 2.5 conceded. Dessel Sport come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.9 goals (2.4 for Dessel Sport, 1.5 for Harelbeke). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 1–1 (7%), 3–1 (7%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.50. For a bigger price, Dessel Sport to win at 1.75 is our value angle (61% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Dessel Sport to win ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Half-time result | Dessel Sport ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Dessel Sport / FT Dessel Sport ✓ | 38% | 2.64 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.40 | – |
Form
Dessel Sport – last 6
| 30 Sep | @ Merelbeke | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Cercle Brugge II | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | @ Houtvenne | 0–5 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Hoogstraten | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | @ Tienen | 4–3 | W |
| 26 Apr | @ Sporting Hasselt | 0–1 | L |
Harelbeke – last 6
| 30 Sep | vs Hoogstraten | 3–3 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Merelbeke | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Tienen | 0–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Heist | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Mandel United | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Jul | vs Kortrijk | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dessel Sport and Harelbeke.
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Roeselare Daisel3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Dessel Sport vs Harelbeke?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Dessel Sport vs Harelbeke?
On our numbers Dessel Sport have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Harelbeke 26%.
How many goals will there be in Dessel Sport vs Harelbeke?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
When is Dessel Sport vs Harelbeke?
Dessel Sport vs Harelbeke (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Armand Melis Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.