Arsenal Tula travel to Neftyanik Stadium in the First League on Saturday 17 October (12:00 WAT) to face FC UFA. FC UFA are 8th with 22 points from 17 games (in the top half), while Arsenal Tula sit 12th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC UFA's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to FC Sochi 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Arsenal Tula's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Spartak Kostroma 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for FC UFA and 1.3 for Arsenal Tula. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC UFA 35%, draw 24%, Arsenal Tula 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: FC UFA 1–1 Arsenal Tula. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC UFA35%fair 2.85 · @2.79
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.20
Arsenal Tula41%fair 2.45 · @2.41
2.55Expected goals
1.21FC UFA xG
1.33Arsenal Tula xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: FC UFA 1.2 – 1.3 Arsenal Tula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal Tula to win✗
41%
2.45
2.41
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.19
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal Tula / FT Arsenal Tula✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.57
–
Form
FC UFA – last 6
LDLDLD
11 Oct
@ FC Sochi
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–0
D
18 Sep
@ Chelyabinsk
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
2–2
D
9 Sep
@ Kaluga
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Veles
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Arsenal Tula – last 6
WLLDLL
9 Oct
vs Spartak Kostroma
3–2
W
4 Oct
@ CSKA Moscow
1–3
L
16 Sep
@ Enisey
1–3
L
13 Sep
vs Ska-khabarovsk
2–2
D
8 Sep
@ Tekstilshchik
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC UFA and Arsenal Tula.
What is the prediction for FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula?
On our numbers FC UFA have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arsenal Tula 41%.
How many goals will there be in FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula?
Our predicted score is FC UFA 1–1 Arsenal Tula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula?
FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula (First League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Neftyanik Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
