Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
2
Value bet: FK Neftekhimik to win @ 3.66 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKAMAZ to win ✓47% · @1.99
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.96
KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik preview and prediction
The match
FK Neftekhimik travel to KAMAZ Stadium in the First League on Saturday 17 October (16:00 WAT) to face KAMAZ. KAMAZ are 16th with 14 points from 17 games (in the bottom three), while FK Neftekhimik sit 17th on 13 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
KAMAZ's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Ska-khabarovsk 3–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
FK Neftekhimik's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Chelyabinsk 2–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
KAMAZ arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 July 2026, finished KAMAZ 2–3 FK Neftekhimik. Across their last 3 meetings KAMAZ have won 0, FK Neftekhimik 1, with 2 draws and 1.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for KAMAZ and 1.0 for FK Neftekhimik. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: KAMAZ 47%, draw 22%, FK Neftekhimik 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.99.
Value angle: FK Neftekhimik to win at 3.66 – 31% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: KAMAZ 1–1 FK Neftekhimik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KAMAZ47%fair 2.11 · @1.99
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.22
FK Neftekhimik31%fair 3.26 · @3.66
2.39Expected goals
1.37KAMAZ xG
1.02FK Neftekhimik xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: KAMAZ 1.4 – 1.0 FK Neftekhimik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik?
On our numbers KAMAZ have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FK Neftekhimik 31%.
How many goals will there be in KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our predicted score is KAMAZ 1–1 FK Neftekhimik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik?
KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik (First League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at KAMAZ Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
