First League · Russia · Stadion UrozhaySpartak Kostroma vs Leningradets prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Spartak Kostroma 1.9 – 0.8 Leningradets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Spartak Kostroma are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 17% for Leningradets.
Spartak Kostroma have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Leningradets have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded. Spartak Kostroma come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.9 for Spartak Kostroma, 0.8 for Leningradets). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.21 is close to our fair price of 1.34.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Spartak Kostroma to win ✓ | 66% | 1.53 | 1.42 |
| Double chance | Spartak Kostroma or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.90 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.21 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.35 |
| Half-time result | Spartak Kostroma ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Spartak Kostroma / FT Spartak Kostroma ✓ | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.57 | – |
Form
Spartak Kostroma – last 6
| 13 Oct | vs Chelyabinsk | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Oct | @ Arsenal Tula | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Ural | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | @ Volga Ulyanovsk | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | vs FK Neftekhimik | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Sep | @ Ryazan | 2–0 | W |
Leningradets – last 6
| 14 Oct | vs Luki-Energiya | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Torpedo Moskva | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Volga Ulyanovsk | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | @ Nizhny Novgorod | 0–6 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Tekstilshchik | 2–2 | D |
| 9 Sep | @ FK Sokol Saratov | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Kostroma and Leningradets.
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | +37 | 46 |
| 2 |  Ural | 17 | +18 | 34 |
| 3 |  Torpedo Moskva | 17 | +16 | 32 |
| 4 |  FC Sochi | 17 | +6 | 32 |
| 5 |  Veles | 18 | +2 | 31 |
| 6 |  Spartak Kostroma | 17 | +2 | 28 |
| 7 |  Shinnik Yaroslavl | 17 | +4 | 26 |
| 8 |  FC UFA | 17 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 18 | -3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Rotor Volgograd | 17 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Chelyabinsk | 17 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 |  Arsenal Tula | 17 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 |  Leningradets | 17 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |  Enisey | 17 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Ska-khabarovsk | 17 | -5 | 16 |
| 16 |  KAMAZ | 17 | -9 | 14 |
| 17 |  FK Neftekhimik | 17 | -14 | 13 |
| 18 |  Tekstilshchik | 17 | -17 | 11 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Spartak Kostroma vs Leningradets?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs Leningradets?
On our numbers Spartak Kostroma have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Leningradets 17%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Kostroma vs Leningradets?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Spartak Kostroma vs Leningradets?
Spartak Kostroma vs Leningradets (First League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Urozhay.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.