Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultShinnik Yaroslavl to win ✓68% · @1.59
Double chanceShinnik Yaroslavl or draw ✓91% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.76
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik preview and prediction
The match
Tekstilshchik travel to Shinnik in the First League on Saturday 10 October (15:00 WAT) to face Shinnik Yaroslavl. Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th with 26 points from 17 games (in the top half), while Tekstilshchik sit 18th on 11 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Shinnik Yaroslavl's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Ska-khabarovsk 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tekstilshchik's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Rotor Volgograd 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Shinnik Yaroslavl arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Shinnik Yaroslavl and 0.5 for Tekstilshchik. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Shinnik Yaroslavl to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.59, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–0 Tekstilshchik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shinnik Yaroslavl68%fair 1.46 · @1.59
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.60
Tekstilshchik9%fair 10.64 · @5.55
2.35Expected goals
1.83Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
0.53Tekstilshchik xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
0–09%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.8 – 0.5 Tekstilshchik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shinnik Yaroslavl to win✓
68%
1.46
1.59 ▲
Double chance
Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.19
Half-time result
Shinnik Yaroslavl ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shinnik Yaroslavl / FT Shinnik Yaroslavl✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.76
–
Form
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6
DLDWDD
27 Sep
vs Ska-khabarovsk
0–0
D
18 Sep
vs KAMAZ
0–1
L
14 Sep
vs Ural
1–1
D
10 Sep
vs Torpedo Moskva
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Rotor Volgograd
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Enisey
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Tekstilshchik – last 6
LDWLLL
17 Sep
vs Rotor Volgograd
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Leningradets
2–2
D
8 Sep
vs Arsenal Tula
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Torpedo Moskva
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Veles
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Ural
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shinnik Yaroslavl and Tekstilshchik.
What is the prediction for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik?
Our pick is Shinnik Yaroslavl to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.59.
Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik?
On our numbers Shinnik Yaroslavl have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tekstilshchik 9%.
How many goals will there be in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik?
Our predicted score is Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–0 Tekstilshchik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik?
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik (First League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Shinnik.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
