Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva preview and prediction
The match
Torpedo Moskva travel to Nova Arena in the First League on Saturday 10 October (12:00 WAT) to face Leningradets. Leningradets are 13th with 18 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Torpedo Moskva sit 3rd on 32 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Leningradets's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Volga Ulyanovsk 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Torpedo Moskva's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Torpedo Zhodino 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Leningradets and 1.7 for Torpedo Moskva. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leningradets 19%, draw 21%, Torpedo Moskva 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.98.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Leningradets 0–1 Torpedo Moskva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leningradets19%fair 5.30 · @5.40
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.68
Torpedo Moskva60%fair 1.65 · @1.59
2.52Expected goals
0.81Leningradets xG
1.72Torpedo Moskva xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Leningradets 0.8 – 1.7 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torpedo Moskva to win✓
60%
1.65
1.59
Double chance
Torpedo Moskva or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.98
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.24
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva✓
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.27
–
Form
Leningradets – last 6
WLDDWL
26 Sep
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
1–0
W
17 Sep
@ Nizhny Novgorod
0–6
L
13 Sep
vs Tekstilshchik
2–2
D
9 Sep
@ FK Sokol Saratov
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Ska-khabarovsk
3–2
W
29 Aug
vs KAMAZ
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Torpedo Moskva – last 6
WDDLLW
3 Oct
@ Torpedo Zhodino
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ FC UFA
0–0
D
17 Sep
vs Veles
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Nizhny Novgorod
1–2
L
10 Sep
@ Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–2
L
4 Sep
@ Tekstilshchik
4–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leningradets and Torpedo Moskva.
What is the prediction for Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva?
On our numbers Leningradets have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Torpedo Moskva 60%.
How many goals will there be in Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our predicted score is Leningradets 0–1 Torpedo Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva?
Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva (First League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Nova Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
