First League · Russia · Lenin StadiumSka-khabarovsk vs KAMAZ prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
Value bet: KAMAZ to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ska-khabarovsk 1.3 – 1.3 KAMAZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Ska-khabarovsk and KAMAZ on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Ska-khabarovsk have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3 per game. KAMAZ have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.3 for Ska-khabarovsk, 1.3 for KAMAZ). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, KAMAZ to win at 3.10 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ska-khabarovsk to win ✗ | 38% | 2.61 | 2.23 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.87 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.66 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.20 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ska-khabarovsk / FT Ska-khabarovsk ✗ | 21% | 4.71 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 10.00 | – |
Form
Ska-khabarovsk – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Sep | @ FC Sochi | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | @ Arsenal Tula | 2–2 | D |
| 9 Sep | @ Znamya Noginsk | 4–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Leningradets | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Torpedo Moskva | 0–2 | L |
KAMAZ – last 6
| 18 Sep | @ Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | vs Chelyabinsk | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Sep | @ Dinamo Kirov | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Ural | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Leningradets | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | vs FC Sochi | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ska-khabarovsk and KAMAZ.
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | +37 | 46 |
| 2 |  Ural | 17 | +18 | 34 |
| 3 |  Torpedo Moskva | 17 | +16 | 32 |
| 4 |  FC Sochi | 17 | +6 | 32 |
| 5 |  Veles | 18 | +2 | 31 |
| 6 |  Spartak Kostroma | 17 | +2 | 28 |
| 7 |  Shinnik Yaroslavl | 17 | +4 | 26 |
| 8 |  FC UFA | 17 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 18 | -3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Rotor Volgograd | 17 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Chelyabinsk | 17 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 |  Arsenal Tula | 17 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 |  Leningradets | 17 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |  Enisey | 17 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Ska-khabarovsk | 17 | -5 | 16 |
| 16 |  KAMAZ | 17 | -9 | 14 |
| 17 |  FK Neftekhimik | 17 | -14 | 13 |
| 18 |  Tekstilshchik | 17 | -17 | 11 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ska-khabarovsk vs KAMAZ?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ska-khabarovsk vs KAMAZ?
On our numbers Ska-khabarovsk have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and KAMAZ 38%.
How many goals will there be in Ska-khabarovsk vs KAMAZ?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Ska-khabarovsk vs KAMAZ?
Ska-khabarovsk vs KAMAZ (First League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Lenin Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.