Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win @ 1.90 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultShinnik Yaroslavl to win ✗62% · @1.90
Double chanceShinnik Yaroslavl or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.08
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs KAMAZ preview and prediction
The match
KAMAZ travel to Shinnik in the First League on Friday 18 September (16:30 WAT) to face Shinnik Yaroslavl. Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th with 26 points from 17 games (in the top half), while KAMAZ sit 16th on 14 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Shinnik Yaroslavl's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Ural 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
KAMAZ's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Chelyabinsk 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Shinnik Yaroslavl arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Shinnik Yaroslavl and 0.8 for KAMAZ. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win at 1.90 – 62% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–0 KAMAZ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shinnik Yaroslavl62%fair 1.62 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.24
KAMAZ16%fair 6.16 · @3.98
2.53Expected goals
1.76Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
0.76KAMAZ xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.8 – 0.8 KAMAZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shinnik Yaroslavl to win✗
62%
1.62
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.18
Half-time result
Shinnik Yaroslavl ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shinnik Yaroslavl / FT Shinnik Yaroslavl✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.08
–
Form
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6
DWDDWW
14 Sep
vs Ural
1–1
D
10 Sep
vs Torpedo Moskva
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Rotor Volgograd
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Enisey
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
3–1
W
14 Aug
@ FK Neftekhimik
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
KAMAZ – last 6
DLLWLL
14 Sep
vs Chelyabinsk
1–1
D
9 Sep
@ Dinamo Kirov
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Ural
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Leningradets
1–0
W
24 Aug
vs FC Sochi
2–3
L
19 Aug
vs Tekstilshchik
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shinnik Yaroslavl and KAMAZ.
What is the prediction for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs KAMAZ?
Our pick is Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs KAMAZ?
On our numbers Shinnik Yaroslavl have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and KAMAZ 16%.
How many goals will there be in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs KAMAZ?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs KAMAZ?
Our predicted score is Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–0 KAMAZ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs KAMAZ?
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs KAMAZ (First League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Shinnik.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
