Value bet: FC UFA to win @ 3.56 – our chance 37% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChelyabinsk to win ✓39% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.67
Chelyabinsk vs FC UFA preview and prediction
The match
FC UFA travel to Central Stadium (Chelyabinsk) in the First League on Friday 18 September (15:00 WAT) to face Chelyabinsk. Chelyabinsk are 11th with 21 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while FC UFA sit 8th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chelyabinsk's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with KAMAZ 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
FC UFA's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Volga Ulyanovsk 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
FC UFA arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Chelyabinsk and 1.2 for FC UFA. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chelyabinsk 39%, draw 24%, FC UFA 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.90.
Value angle: FC UFA to win at 3.56 – 37% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Chelyabinsk 1–1 FC UFA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chelyabinsk39%fair 2.55 · @2.02
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.22
FC UFA37%fair 2.72 · @3.56
2.52Expected goals
1.29Chelyabinsk xG
1.23FC UFA xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Chelyabinsk 1.3 – 1.2 FC UFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelyabinsk to win✓
39%
2.55
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.19
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelyabinsk / FT Chelyabinsk✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.67
–
Form
Chelyabinsk – last 6
DWLLDL
14 Sep
@ KAMAZ
1–1
D
10 Sep
@ Dinamo Barnaul
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Spartak Kostroma
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ FC Sochi
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Leningradets
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC UFA – last 6
DLDWWD
13 Sep
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
2–2
D
9 Sep
@ Kaluga
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Veles
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ FK Neftekhimik
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Enisey
3–1
W
17 Aug
@ Spartak Kostroma
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelyabinsk and FC UFA.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Chelyabinsk vs FC UFA?
On our numbers Chelyabinsk have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC UFA 37%.
How many goals will there be in Chelyabinsk vs FC UFA?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelyabinsk vs FC UFA?
Our predicted score is Chelyabinsk 1–1 FC UFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chelyabinsk vs FC UFA?
Chelyabinsk vs FC UFA (First League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium (Chelyabinsk).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
