First League · Russia · Neftekhimik StadiumFK Neftekhimik vs Ural prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FK Neftekhimik 0.7 – 1.6 Ural expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ural travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 20% for FK Neftekhimik.
FK Neftekhimik have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Ural have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (0.7 for FK Neftekhimik, 1.6 for Ural). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (16%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.30.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ural to win ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.68 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.92 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.46 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.74 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ural / FT Ural ✗ | 35% | 2.83 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 16% | 6.27 | – |
Form
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
| 14 Sep | @ Spartak Kostroma | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Sep | @ Chertanovo Moscow | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Enisey | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | vs FC UFA | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | @ Rotor Volgograd | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | vs FC Sochi | 1–2 | L |
Ural – last 6
| 14 Sep | @ Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Sep | @ Luki-Energiya | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs KAMAZ | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Arsenal Tula | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Tekstilshchik | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | @ Rotor Volgograd | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Neftekhimik and Ural.
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | +37 | 46 |
| 2 |  Ural | 17 | +18 | 34 |
| 3 |  Torpedo Moskva | 17 | +16 | 32 |
| 4 |  FC Sochi | 17 | +6 | 32 |
| 5 |  Veles | 18 | +2 | 31 |
| 6 |  Spartak Kostroma | 17 | +2 | 28 |
| 7 |  Shinnik Yaroslavl | 17 | +4 | 26 |
| 8 |  FC UFA | 17 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 18 | -3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Rotor Volgograd | 17 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Chelyabinsk | 17 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 |  Arsenal Tula | 17 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 |  Leningradets | 17 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |  Enisey | 17 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Ska-khabarovsk | 17 | -5 | 16 |
| 16 |  KAMAZ | 17 | -9 | 14 |
| 17 |  FK Neftekhimik | 17 | -14 | 13 |
| 18 |  Tekstilshchik | 17 | -17 | 11 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FK Neftekhimik vs Ural?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FK Neftekhimik vs Ural?
On our numbers FK Neftekhimik have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ural 61%.
How many goals will there be in FK Neftekhimik vs Ural?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is FK Neftekhimik vs Ural?
FK Neftekhimik vs Ural (First League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Neftekhimik Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.