Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.24Odds
2
Value bet: FC Sochi to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Sochi to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceFC Sochi or draw ✓81% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.73
Veles vs FC Sochi preview and prediction
The match
Veles host FC Sochi in the First League on Monday 14 September, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Avangard Stadium. Veles are 5th with 31 points from 18 games (in the top half), while FC Sochi sit 4th on 32 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Veles's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Murom 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
FC Sochi's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Dinamo St. Petersburg 0–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Veles and 1.8 for FC Sochi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Veles 19%, draw 20%, FC Sochi 61%.
Safer route: FC Sochi or draw (81%) at 1.24.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.84.
Value angle: FC Sochi to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Sochi or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Veles 0–1 FC Sochi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Veles19%fair 5.34 · @3.74
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.34
FC Sochi61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
2.63Expected goals
0.84Veles xG
1.79FC Sochi xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Veles 0.8 – 1.8 FC Sochi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Sochi to win✓
61%
1.63
1.95 ▲
Double chance
FC Sochi or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.84
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.22
Half-time result
FC Sochi ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Sochi / FT FC Sochi✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.73
–
Form
Veles – last 6
LDWWWL
9 Sep
@ Murom
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ FC UFA
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Tekstilshchik
1–0
W
24 Aug
vs Arsenal Tula
2–0
W
19 Aug
vs Nizhny Novgorod
3–2
W
15 Aug
@ Ska-khabarovsk
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
FC Sochi – last 6
LLWWWW
9 Sep
@ Dinamo St. Petersburg
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Nizhny Novgorod
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Chelyabinsk
2–1
W
24 Aug
@ KAMAZ
3–2
W
20 Aug
@ FK Neftekhimik
2–1
W
16 Aug
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Veles and FC Sochi.
Our pick is FC Sochi or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Veles vs FC Sochi?
On our numbers Veles have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Sochi 61%.
How many goals will there be in Veles vs FC Sochi?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Veles vs FC Sochi?
Our predicted score is Veles 0–1 FC Sochi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Veles vs FC Sochi?
Veles vs FC Sochi (First League) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Avangard Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
