Double chanceSpartak Kostroma or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.07
Spartak Kostroma vs FK Neftekhimik preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Spartak Kostroma take on FK Neftekhimik on Monday 14 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Urozhay. Spartak Kostroma are 6th with 28 points from 17 games (in the top half), while FK Neftekhimik sit 17th on 13 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Spartak Kostroma's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Ryazan 2–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FK Neftekhimik's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Chertanovo Moscow 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Spartak Kostroma arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Spartak Kostroma and 0.7 for FK Neftekhimik. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spartak Kostroma 62%, draw 23%, FK Neftekhimik 15%.
Safer route: Spartak Kostroma or draw (85%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.92.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Spartak Kostroma 1–0 FK Neftekhimik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartak Kostroma62%fair 1.62 · @1.69
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.58
FK Neftekhimik15%fair 6.50 · @4.80
2.35Expected goals
1.67Spartak Kostroma xG
0.68FK Neftekhimik xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Spartak Kostroma 1.7 – 0.7 FK Neftekhimik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Kostroma to win✓
62%
1.62
1.69
Double chance
Spartak Kostroma or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.92
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.24
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Kostroma / FT Spartak Kostroma✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.07
–
Form
Spartak Kostroma – last 6
WWWLDW
8 Sep
@ Ryazan
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Chelyabinsk
1–0
W
31 Aug
vs Rotor Volgograd
1–0
W
21 Aug
@ Torpedo Moskva
0–3
L
17 Aug
vs FC UFA
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Ska-khabarovsk
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
DWLWLL
9 Sep
@ Chertanovo Moscow
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Enisey
2–0
W
28 Aug
vs FC UFA
0–1
L
24 Aug
@ Rotor Volgograd
1–0
W
20 Aug
vs FC Sochi
1–2
L
14 Aug
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Kostroma and FK Neftekhimik.
What is the prediction for Spartak Kostroma vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs FK Neftekhimik?
On our numbers Spartak Kostroma have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FK Neftekhimik 15%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Kostroma vs FK Neftekhimik?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Kostroma vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our predicted score is Spartak Kostroma 1–0 FK Neftekhimik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Spartak Kostroma vs FK Neftekhimik?
Spartak Kostroma vs FK Neftekhimik (First League) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Urozhay.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
