Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Neftekhimik prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
2
Value bet: FK Neftekhimik to win @ 3.78 – our chance 34% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVolga Ulyanovsk to win ✓43% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.04
Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Neftekhimik preview and prediction
The match
FK Neftekhimik travel to Trud Stadium in the First League on Saturday 25 July (14:00 WAT) to face Volga Ulyanovsk. Volga Ulyanovsk are 9th with 22 points from 18 games (in the top half), while FK Neftekhimik sit 17th on 13 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Volga Ulyanovsk's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Torpedo Moskva 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
FK Neftekhimik's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Arsenal Tula 1–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FK Neftekhimik arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Volga Ulyanovsk and 1.1 for FK Neftekhimik. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Volga Ulyanovsk 43%, draw 22%, FK Neftekhimik 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.93.
Value angle: FK Neftekhimik to win at 3.78 – 34% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 FK Neftekhimik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Volga Ulyanovsk43%fair 2.30 · @2.02
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.12
FK Neftekhimik34%fair 2.93 · @3.78
2.31Expected goals
1.25Volga Ulyanovsk xG
1.06FK Neftekhimik xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Volga Ulyanovsk 1.2 – 1.1 FK Neftekhimik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Volga Ulyanovsk to win✓
43%
2.30
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Volga Ulyanovsk / FT Volga Ulyanovsk✓
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.04
–
Form
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 6
LLDLLW
19 Jul
@ Torpedo Moskva
1–3
L
11 Jul
vs Enisey
1–2
L
28 Jun
@ Spartak Kostroma
1–1
D
26 Jun
@ Baltika
0–3
L
22 Jun
@ Torpedo Moskva
0–1
L
17 Jun
@ Arsenal Tula
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
WLWDWD
19 Jul
@ Arsenal Tula
1–0
W
11 Jul
vs Veles
0–1
L
1 Jul
@ KAMAZ
3–2
W
28 Jun
@ Krylia Sovetov
1–1
D
25 Jun
@ FC Orenburg
1–0
W
18 Jun
vs KAMAZ
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Volga Ulyanovsk and FK Neftekhimik.
What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
On our numbers Volga Ulyanovsk have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FK Neftekhimik 34%.
How many goals will there be in Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our predicted score is Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 FK Neftekhimik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Neftekhimik (First League) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Trud Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
