Value bet: Chelyabinsk to win @ 3.38 – our chance 31% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNizhny Novgorod to win ✓46% · @2.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.84
Chelyabinsk vs Nizhny Novgorod preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Chelyabinsk take on Nizhny Novgorod on Saturday 25 July, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Central Stadium. Chelyabinsk are 11th with 21 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Nizhny Novgorod sit 1st on 46 points (top of the table). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chelyabinsk's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Veles 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Nizhny Novgorod's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat KAMAZ 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for Chelyabinsk and 1.7 for Nizhny Novgorod. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 52% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Chelyabinsk to win at 3.38 – 31% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Chelyabinsk 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chelyabinsk31%fair 3.18 · @3.38
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.18
Nizhny Novgorod46%fair 2.16 · @2.13
3.00Expected goals
1.33Chelyabinsk xG
1.67Nizhny Novgorod xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Chelyabinsk 1.3 – 1.7 Nizhny Novgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nizhny Novgorod to win✓
46%
2.16
2.13
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.24
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod✓
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.84
–
Form
Chelyabinsk – last 6
LWDLWL
19 Jul
@ Veles
0–1
L
13 Jul
vs Ska-khabarovsk
3–1
W
4 Jul
@ Ural
1–1
D
8 May
@ Rodina Moskva
0–2
L
2 May
vs FK Neftekhimik
2–0
W
26 Apr
vs Ural
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nizhny Novgorod – last 6
WWLDLL
19 Jul
@ KAMAZ
2–1
W
12 Jul
vs Rotor Volgograd
4–2
W
4 Jul
@ Dynamo
1–2
L
17 May
@ Rubin
2–2
D
11 May
vs CSKA Moscow
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelyabinsk and Nizhny Novgorod.
What is the prediction for Chelyabinsk vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Chelyabinsk vs Nizhny Novgorod?
On our numbers Chelyabinsk have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nizhny Novgorod 46%.
How many goals will there be in Chelyabinsk vs Nizhny Novgorod?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelyabinsk vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our predicted score is Chelyabinsk 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Chelyabinsk vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Chelyabinsk vs Nizhny Novgorod (First League) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
