Value bet: Spartak Kostroma to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpartak Kostroma to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceSpartak Kostroma or draw ✓85% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.76
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.41
Tekstilshchik vs Spartak Kostroma preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Tekstilshchik take on Spartak Kostroma on Saturday 25 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadion Tekstilshchik. Tekstilshchik are 18th with 11 points from 17 games (in the bottom three), while Spartak Kostroma sit 6th on 28 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tekstilshchik's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with FC UFA 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spartak Kostroma's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat FC Sochi 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Tekstilshchik and 2.0 for Spartak Kostroma. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Spartak Kostroma or draw (85%) at 1.19.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.76.
Value angle: Spartak Kostroma to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Tekstilshchik 0–2 Spartak Kostroma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tekstilshchik15%fair 6.53 · @4.15
Draw24%fair 4.26 · @3.36
Spartak Kostroma61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
2.95Expected goals
0.93Tekstilshchik xG
2.02Spartak Kostroma xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Tekstilshchik 0.9 – 2.0 Spartak Kostroma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Kostroma to win✗
61%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Spartak Kostroma or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.76
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.89
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.29
Half-time result
Spartak Kostroma ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Kostroma / FT Spartak Kostroma✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.41
–
Form
Tekstilshchik – last 6
DLWWLW
19 Jul
vs FC UFA
2–2
D
13 Jul
@ Arsenal Tula
1–2
L
13 Jun
vs Irtysh Omsk
2–0
W
7 Jun
@ Rodina Moskva II
2–0
W
31 May
vs Leningradets
0–2
L
27 May
@ Torpedo Miass
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Spartak Kostroma – last 6
WWLLDD
19 Jul
@ FC Sochi
2–0
W
12 Jul
vs KAMAZ
3–1
W
3 Jul
@ Lokomotiv
0–2
L
2 Jul
@ Spartak Moscow
0–1
L
28 Jun
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
1–1
D
21 Jun
@ Arsenal Tula
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tekstilshchik and Spartak Kostroma.
What is the prediction for Tekstilshchik vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Tekstilshchik vs Spartak Kostroma?
On our numbers Tekstilshchik have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Spartak Kostroma 61%.
How many goals will there be in Tekstilshchik vs Spartak Kostroma?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tekstilshchik vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our predicted score is Tekstilshchik 0–2 Spartak Kostroma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tekstilshchik vs Spartak Kostroma?
Tekstilshchik vs Spartak Kostroma (First League) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Tekstilshchik.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
