FC Porto B vs União de Leiria prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
União de Leiria or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: União de Leiria to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnião de Leiria to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceUnião de Leiria or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.12
FC Porto B vs União de Leiria preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda Liga sees FC Porto B take on União de Leiria on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes. FC Porto B are 16th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while União de Leiria sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
FC Porto B's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Leixoes 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
União de Leiria's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Bragança 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
União de Leiria arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished União de Leiria 2–2 FC Porto B.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for FC Porto B and 1.8 for União de Leiria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Porto B 18%, draw 25%, União de Leiria 57%.
Safer route: União de Leiria or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: União de Leiria to win at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was União de Leiria or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Porto B 0–1 União de Leiria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Porto B18%fair 5.69 · @3.60
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.25
União de Leiria57%fair 1.75 · @1.91
2.79Expected goals
0.95FC Porto B xG
1.84União de Leiria xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
0–06%
From our goals model: FC Porto B 0.9 – 1.8 União de Leiria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Porto B vs União de Leiria?
Our pick is União de Leiria or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Porto B vs União de Leiria?
On our numbers FC Porto B have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 25% and União de Leiria 57%.
How many goals will there be in FC Porto B vs União de Leiria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Porto B vs União de Leiria?
Our predicted score is FC Porto B 0–1 União de Leiria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FC Porto B vs União de Leiria?
FC Porto B vs União de Leiria (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
