Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.93
AVS vs Tondela preview and prediction
The match
AVS host Tondela in the Segunda Liga on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Estádio do CD das Aves. AVS are 11th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Tondela sit 7th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
AVS's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Moreirense 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tondela's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Alverca 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.7 for AVS and 1.3 for Tondela. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: AVS 25%, draw 20%, Tondela 55%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tondela to win – a 55% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AVS 0–1 Tondela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AVS25%fair 4.05 · @3.40
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.10
Tondela55%fair 1.81 · @1.91
2.07Expected goals
0.73AVS xG
1.34Tondela xG
47%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–013%
1–112%
0–211%
1–09%
1–28%
From our goals model: AVS 0.7 – 1.3 Tondela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tondela to win✗
55%
1.81
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.35 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tondela / FT Tondela✗
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.93
–
Form
AVS – last 6
WWWDLW
17 Oct
vs Moreirense
1–0
W
9 Oct
@ Penafiel
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Sintrense
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Farense
0–0
D
7 Sep
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Feirense
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tondela – last 6
DWWWWL
18 Oct
vs Alverca
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs Torreense
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Imortal Albufeira
5–1
W
12 Sep
@ Portimonense
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs FC Porto B
3–0
W
28 Aug
@ União de Leiria
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AVS and Tondela.
Our pick is Tondela to win with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win AVS vs Tondela?
On our numbers AVS have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tondela 55%.
How many goals will there be in AVS vs Tondela?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AVS vs Tondela?
Our predicted score is AVS 0–1 Tondela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is AVS vs Tondela?
AVS vs Tondela (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do CD das Aves.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
